1915 Rome Earthquake Prediction : Not a bad guess
Raffaele Bendandi has been in the news because of his prediction of an Earthquake in Rome on May 11, 2011. Why? Because he is said to have predicted the 1915 Avezzano earthquake. He gained fame when he predicted that an earthquake would strike on January 2, 1923. His prediction was off by two days – the earthquake occurred on January 4, 1923 in Le Marche.
So almost 100 years after his prediction, how did he do? Not too bad. Today in Southern Spain a major earthquake hit with significant damage. This was the deadliest earthquake in Spain since 1956. For a 100 year prediction of devastation in the area, without sufficient knowledge of tectonics, this was a pretty damn good guess. The map below shows the proximity of the earthquake in Spain to the earthquake in Rome.
The proximity is eerily close to Rome. Earthquakes in Spain with this type of damage and loss of life are rare enough to make all the conspiracy theorists go “ohhhhhhhh”. While I do not buy into the belief that this scientist’s predictions were accurate, what I do buy into is the fact that astrological alignment and events can and do effect the earth’s crust and oceans.
News articles show that Romans were taking precautions because of this ancient prediction. They refer to the Romans as superstitious. I would say to this that there is less superstition in believing a ancient seismologist who says the planets have something to do with earthquakes, than the superstition of religion, yet we tend to chastise those who follow fringe science more than those who worship myths.
This is something we need to fix in our society. Take a closer look at fringe science. It is usually the birthplace of the greatest theories in our history. At one time the idea of the atom, the idea of the nuclear bomb, and the idea of a round planet were all fringe science.